Archive for the ‘Betting’ Category

Getting Started - Making money from the Punt

Wednesday, March 11th, 2009

After following horse racing in Australia for over 20 years and owning a number of racehorses (no Melbourne Cup winners yet!), I have decided to start this betting blog to provide commentary and analysis on how to win some cash on the gee gees in Australia. This blog is about winning cash, placing smart bets to make a profit. You will not read lots of hype about boom horses like Weekend Hustler and Light Fantastic as every newspaper is spruking these potential champions.

Fortunately. I had a winning day on Saturday backing GRANDILOQUENT at 33-1 at Canterbury, plus Bonelle each way in the last at Caulfield at 60-1. I also took the shorts CONISTON GEM and collected the Bank Interest in the first race, which provided a bank for the rest of the day.

The first punting lesson I follow is put your hard earned on the best jockeys and they invariably deliver. The jockeys which consistently deliver the goods in Victoria is Nash Rawiller, Craig Williams and Corey Brown. Follow these guys and you will make a profit most Saturdays. Stay tuned for more commentary and posts over the next few days.

Making some money at Sandown midweek meeting tomorrow

Wednesday, March 11th, 2009

I have just been looking through the fields tomorrow at Sandown. Sandown can be fickle track to bet, as there is a long straight, but suprisingly a large number of races are won by the front runners do to jockeys controlling a slow tempo early in the race. The professional punters these days use speed maps to spot fast sectionals of horses that find themselves in unwinnable positions, but run home in fast sectionals over the last 400 or 200m.

ok, so how do we make some money tomorrow. I think we can make some money early in the Mares race, race 1.

I saw Hey Rosie win a weak mares race at Sandown last start, but she was caught 3 wide the entire trip and won with plenty in hand. I find most Mares races quite even and she gets in with 54kgm with a 4kg advantage over the top weight. I think she can sit midfield and prove too strong in the first, bet each way in field of 7, so you should make profit even if she runs second. But lets be confident, hey Rosie gets us off to a great start.

In race 3, I like Going Spending each way. This is a race which lakcs depth, Going Spending has some form a year ago around Stanzout and with Craig Willams aboard a dna good barrier, he represents a great each way bet.

Alll the other races look a bit too tricky for me. So good luck tomorrow, and lets hope we can end the day in front.

Stay tuned for more commentary and tips

Looking Ahead - The Futurity Stakes Caulfield this Saturday

Wednesday, March 11th, 2009

Looking through the weights for this Saturdays Futurity Stakes at Caulfied. Quite a weak field for a 700K race with stars like Princess Coup, Weekend Hustler and Apache Cat not competing. History tells us to follow horses who have competed in the strong form line of the CF ORR stakes, which produced Princess Coup which won easily last weekend. If Miss Finland was in-form she would start very short in this race, but she was dissapointing last start. I was a big fan of Miss Finland last spiring, and my sky rocket is much lighter as a result.

All that being said, Publishing looks as they he may get a soft lead, however, I think Pillar of Hercules will apply some pressure from the 600 metres, plus Shinzig and Cinque Cento could race forward. Niconero looks a great bet, Brad Rawiller or Craig Williams will be aboard, he races well at Caulfied and weather being ok, Niconero looks a great bet. I will be loading up this weekend on Niconero.

Todays Betting Results

Wednesday, March 11th, 2009

Just the 2 bets today and made a profit. As per my previous post I had $50 eachway on Hey Rosie to collect $300, a profit of $200, then lost $100 on Going Spending, so $100 profit for the day.Was too busy so did not watch the races. Always good to make a profit. Most people do not like betting each way in fields of 7 or less which only pay 2 dividends. However, the place dividend can often provide more than your money back, so I think its worth consideration when the field lacks depth and you don’t like one of the other favourites.

I also have a Bet Fair Account so I can lay favourites that I don’t think can win. if your patient and not greedy, the lay apporach with Bet Fair can be very profitable.

Now, its time to look for some future winners in Victoria

Wangaratta on Friday - Betting Tip

Wednesday, March 11th, 2009

I quite like Wangaratta as a country racing track, it gives most horses every chance. With 2 days before the meeting, most people haven’t even seen the fields, but I thought race 6 was a great betting race. A Friday 0-78 grade of race which means that most of the horses running will be dropping in grade because they have lost all form. On the flipside Peter Moody who is fantastic at placing horses has Jason Benbow another favourite of mine, the horse is Anna Joy.

She looks a great bet, lets see her odds to see if we bet each way or straight out -

Betting Smart

Wednesday, March 11th, 2009

In 2008, it still surprises me how many punters are still going to the races and their local TAB to place a bet. Jump on the Internet and there is so much choice from healthy competition among online bookmakers. This competition means you can enjoy extra value when your back a winner. Last week I was fortunate to receive 33-1 on a winner, where if I had been lazy I woud have received only 24-1. The difference was an extra $450 in my pocket. This is serious money and much better in my pocket. Ignorance and laziness costs you valuable money. US humans are creatures of habit, but us punters act through our pockets, so its time you opened multiple bookmaker accounts so you always gain the best value when you bet

Review Flemington Races on March 15

Wednesday, March 11th, 2009

Been a while since my last post so thought it was time to start publishing again. I managed to make a profit on punt yesterday. My best bet was Translate in the feature mares race. I know she was favourite, however, I thought she represented outstanding value at the $2.85. Translate was the only Mare that could get near Divine Madonna last Spring under level weights, so in a relatively moderate mares race she did look a good thing and did the right thing by me. The ride of Craig Williams was 10 out of 10. Craig Williams summed up there was no speed, sat 1 out 1 back and won easily. Its amazing how often in Mares races that there is little speed and horses at the back have no hope whatsoever to be competitive.

If you backed any Mare in the race that got back in the field, don’t write them off as they had no chance to be competitive. I always look for races with a slow tempo where horses finish down the track and look for their next run, as quite often they can start over the odds. Horses like Brom Felinity, Cancanelle, & Trick of Light were all fantastic runs